{"seq":0,"ts":"2026-10-26T00:00:00Z","event":"genesis","note":"Compute Assay delivery-risk forecast ledger. Append-only; each record's hash is sha256 of the record without `hash` (JSON.stringify form); prev_hash chains to the previous record. Forecasts resolve on resolves_on.","prev_hash":"0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","hash":"48bdb18735f0c1bd1384273502916bff374a20ec4ea508f3cddf3a104e94fc90"}
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{"seq":2,"ts":"2026-10-26T12:00:00Z","event":"forecast","site_id":"iren-childress-tx","phase":"Horizons 2–4","target":"2026-Q4","resolves_on":"2026-12-31","resolves_6mo_on":"2027-06-30","p_on_time":0.65,"p_within_6mo":0.85,"score":0.69,"grade":"DR-B","rubric":"DR-1 v0.1","evidence_sha256":"b6f7fc6c5c9bb1f91b504fa4372efc173e094da643289b7c5cf4853a69442c32","prev_hash":"036c9b60f4af29db87a549cc779a5a08a16853c17d13d4622d56fb92a3c086fa","hash":"a647ec832687e41212edde392d3f24acba327d8c8ebbfd9e43e1288e8ff66524"}
{"seq":3,"ts":"2026-10-26T12:00:00Z","event":"forecast","site_id":"apld-polaris-forge-1","phase":"Building 3","target":"2027","resolves_on":"2027-12-31","resolves_6mo_on":"2028-06-30","p_on_time":0.47,"p_within_6mo":0.73,"score":0.46,"grade":"DR-C","rubric":"DR-1 v0.1","evidence_sha256":"d7569a55ccfce56980998779b6972ece5c30cfdc6646aa5f0a7b46e002463663","prev_hash":"a647ec832687e41212edde392d3f24acba327d8c8ebbfd9e43e1288e8ff66524","hash":"805bdb00bf293df3b5fcbe317c8e431cda8600b6647cdb7ad5761da1a3c8187c"}
{"seq":4,"ts":"2026-10-26T12:00:00Z","event":"forecast","site_id":"cifr-barber-lake-tx","phase":"First data halls (initial 168 MW lease; last halls Q1 2027)","target":"2026-Q4","resolves_on":"2026-12-31","resolves_6mo_on":"2027-06-30","p_on_time":0.61,"p_within_6mo":0.83,"score":0.64,"grade":"DR-B","rubric":"DR-1 v0.1","evidence_sha256":"8f7d910984fe54434c5b0c8370b621e83f78ace8018dc4dae0caff18a0596c6c","prev_hash":"805bdb00bf293df3b5fcbe317c8e431cda8600b6647cdb7ad5761da1a3c8187c","hash":"70c748459027e51894a3284f92fa7eb21fb81510e1d42c76c61fe05be0173fdd"}
{"seq":5,"ts":"2026-10-26T12:00:00Z","event":"forecast","site_id":"nscale-monarch-wv","phase":"First building for Anthropic (~460 MW, press figure)","target":"2027-Q4","resolves_on":"2027-12-31","resolves_6mo_on":"2028-06-30","p_on_time":0.32,"p_within_6mo":0.6,"score":0.28,"grade":"DR-D","rubric":"DR-1 v0.1","evidence_sha256":"b170c69fb41a714f1193df99da78f48f4d378a814f08c62d6bbee1eab78f0e0a","prev_hash":"70c748459027e51894a3284f92fa7eb21fb81510e1d42c76c61fe05be0173fdd","hash":"0cd9e4c7887617ebfc380e6f81b30acf7c0daca7ca1e166cdbca81dc6bdb5cd8"}
{"seq":6,"ts":"2026-10-26T12:00:00Z","event":"forecast","site_id":"spacexai-colossus-2","phase":"All SpaceX-contracted capacity delivered to Anthropic","target":"2026-12","resolves_on":"2026-12-31","resolves_6mo_on":"2027-06-30","p_on_time":0.48,"p_within_6mo":0.74,"score":0.48,"grade":"DR-C","rubric":"DR-1 v0.1","evidence_sha256":"b50ae36eeb6aa8cca9a71ffdcd3df9a3a5d4207f8922365d1afb237a652f5aa7","prev_hash":"0cd9e4c7887617ebfc380e6f81b30acf7c0daca7ca1e166cdbca81dc6bdb5cd8","hash":"a9449351b0592b24c7b8308f4f4a75d222729c5af4fdddd68072886d24c7da82"}
{"seq":7,"ts":"2026-10-26T12:00:00Z","event":"forecast","site_id":"msft-fairwater-wi","phase":"Datacenter 2","target":"2028","resolves_on":"2028-12-31","resolves_6mo_on":"2029-06-30","p_on_time":0.58,"p_within_6mo":0.81,"score":0.6,"grade":"DR-B","rubric":"DR-1 v0.1","evidence_sha256":"3922404a1c8da00909341875c1675f1edec7059c62d3a1bbe8e9d371e6327c38","prev_hash":"a9449351b0592b24c7b8308f4f4a75d222729c5af4fdddd68072886d24c7da82","hash":"c54b987cd073f6be0aeb2c3908a0b3193d1f884b098bd185f7e390673de06e43"}
{"seq":8,"ts":"2026-10-26T12:00:00Z","event":"forecast","site_id":"stargate-abilene","phase":"Buildings 7–8 (no operator date; Q4 2026 is a third-party estimate)","target":"2026-Q4","resolves_on":"2026-12-31","resolves_6mo_on":"2027-06-30","p_on_time":0.43,"p_within_6mo":0.69,"score":0.41,"grade":"DR-C","rubric":"DR-1 v0.1","evidence_sha256":"281ced72522ef730edce91e94bbb92a4dc999f9ce67abb2b6cd52786893f5d39","prev_hash":"c54b987cd073f6be0aeb2c3908a0b3193d1f884b098bd185f7e390673de06e43","hash":"d3bec20a247d4e3c2565708950a4b050ca132a44b7f4c8ca03091668dffe2696"}
{"seq":9,"ts":"2026-10-26T12:00:00Z","event":"forecast","site_id":"aws-rainier-new-carlisle","phase":"Phase 2 (SBN210, buildings 19–32, ~767 MW)","target":"2028-Q1","resolves_on":"2028-03-31","resolves_6mo_on":"2028-09-30","p_on_time":0.47,"p_within_6mo":0.73,"score":0.46,"grade":"DR-C","rubric":"DR-1 v0.1","evidence_sha256":"15c789b41e1197004174d916092f5cc05c4015a327abb152d9bf9a7a73dcb1a7","prev_hash":"d3bec20a247d4e3c2565708950a4b050ca132a44b7f4c8ca03091668dffe2696","hash":"ee7468a2e6f322f56eac531a7afd9e5a7ba1efa4adfbeb416cc3b80c77fb694c"}
{"seq":10,"ts":"2026-10-26T12:00:00Z","event":"forecast","site_id":"terawulf-lake-mariner-ny","phase":"CB-4 (168 MW IT)","target":"2026-H2","resolves_on":"2026-12-31","resolves_6mo_on":"2027-06-30","p_on_time":0.62,"p_within_6mo":0.83,"score":0.65,"grade":"DR-B","rubric":"DR-1 v0.1","evidence_sha256":"e31b21555e36ad5b6ff7f8440b15f0d882fe5866312564efa3e3bd0719f61c1d","prev_hash":"ee7468a2e6f322f56eac531a7afd9e5a7ba1efa4adfbeb416cc3b80c77fb694c","hash":"c2d0bacaeffd92354a943e708ac5c049428efc1eff94de339a221d9296fc0eaf"}